🧩 Mavericks Win Total 2025-26: Current Odds & Line Movement
The Dallas Mavericks enter the 2025-26 season with their projected win total set at 39.5 wins, according to BetMGM Sportsbook. This is a notable drop from last year’s line of 49.5, reflecting the team’s recent roster changes and health concerns.
✅ Current Over/Under Odds:
- Over 39.5 wins: -115
- Under 39.5 wins: -105
The opening line was 38.5 wins but has since moved up slightly due to public optimism around new additions like Cooper Flagg.
🔍 Why the Mavericks’ Win Total Is So Low
Luka Dončić Traded for Anthony Davis
The blockbuster trade at last season’s deadline sent Luka Dončić to another franchise in exchange for Anthony Davis. While Davis remains a top-tier talent, his injury history raises red flags.
Kyrie Irving’s ACL Injury
Veteran guard Kyrie Irving is recovering from a torn ACL suffered in March. At 33 years old, it’s uncertain whether he will return mid-season—and if so, how effective he’ll be.
📉 Mavericks Win Total Prediction: Bet the Under?
Given the uncertainty surrounding both Irving’s return and Davis’s durability, betting the under 39.5 wins looks like a strong option—especially if the total moves up to 40.5.
Key Reasons to Bet the Under:
- Kyrie Irving’s extended injury timeline
- Anthony Davis’s fragile health record
- A competitive Western Conference
- Heavy reliance on rookie Cooper Flagg
🧠 Expert Tip: Wait for the number to climb to 40.5 before locking in your under bet for better value.
📊 Mavericks Win Total History (Last 15 Seasons)
| Season | Win Total | Actual Wins | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 49.5 | 39 | Under |
| 2023-24 | 45.5 | 50 | Over |
| 2022-23 | 48.5 | 38 | Under |
| 2021-22 | 48.5 | 52 | Over |
| 2020-21 | 42.5 | 42 | Under |
| 2019-20 | 40.5 | 43 | Void |
| … | … | … | … |
Historically, the Mavericks have gone under their win total in 5 of the last 8 seasons, especially when their stars are unavailable for long stretches.
🔁 How This Affects the Western Conference
In a conference loaded with elite teams like the Nuggets, Warriors, and Thunder, a hobbled Mavericks squad lacking cohesion could find themselves back in the play-in mix—or worse.
🎯 Final Prediction: Under 39.5 Wins
Unless both Davis and Irving return healthy and consistent—which history says is unlikely—the Mavericks will likely struggle to hit 40 wins.
Prediction: Under 39.5 Wins
🧾 FAQs: Mavericks Win Total 2025-26
❓ What is the Mavericks’ projected win total for 2025-26?
The Mavericks’ current projected win total is 39.5 wins.
❓ What are the odds for the Mavericks to go over or under?
- Over 39.5: -115
- Under 39.5: -105
❓ Should I bet the over or under?
Given current injury concerns and Western Conference depth, the under is the safer play—especially if the line rises to 40.5.
❓ Who is Cooper Flagg?
Cooper Flagg was the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NBA Draft, expected to become a franchise cornerstone in the coming years.
📱 Bet Live on NBA Games
Want to bet in real time? Platforms like BetMGM offer live betting during NBA games, from star-studded matchups to in-game props and futures.
