Arch Manning, one of the most hyped quarterback prospects in modern college football history, has become a hot topic again in 2025. Whether it’s about his potential transfer, his NIL deal, or the grade analysts assign him as a college quarterback, fans and analysts alike can’t stop talking about him.
In this comprehensive article, we will delve deep into:
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Whether Arch Manning is transferring or staying
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The truth behind his NIL deal
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His performance grade so far
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What lies ahead in his college football career
Who is Arch Manning?
Archibald Charles Manning, commonly known as Arch Manning, is the nephew of Super Bowl champions Peyton and Eli Manning and the grandson of Ole Miss legend Archie Manning. Born on April 27, 2005, Arch comes from a royal football lineage, making him one of the most anticipated prospects in years.
He played high school football at Isidore Newman School in New Orleans, Louisiana, where he dominated the field with his pocket awareness, arm strength, and football IQ.
High School Achievements
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Total Passing Yards: 8,599
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Total Touchdowns: 115
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Rating: 5-star recruit (247Sports, ESPN, Rivals)
He committed to the University of Texas at Austin in 2023, choosing the Longhorns over Alabama, Georgia, and Clemson.
Did Arch Manning Transfer?
As of the 2025 college football season, Arch Manning has not officially transferred from the University of Texas. However, rumors have been swirling across sports media outlets and forums that he might be considering a move, especially after recent shifts in the quarterback depth chart.
Why the Transfer Buzz?
Arch Manning was expected to take over as the starting quarterback for Texas after Quinn Ewers declared for the NFL Draft. But reports suggest that incoming freshman phenom DJ Lagway and backup Maalik Murphy have been competing neck-and-neck with Manning in spring practices.
This quarterback battle has triggered speculation that Arch may look elsewhere to secure a guaranteed starting role.
Potential Transfer Destinations:
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Ole Miss Rebels: A legacy move aligning with his grandfather’s alma mater.
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Tennessee Volunteers: Peyton Manning’s college, with a need at QB.
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LSU Tigers: Geographically close and competitive in the SEC.
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Known for grooming elite quarterbacks.
At this stage, the transfer talk remains speculative. No official announcement has been made by Arch Manning, his family, or the Texas football program.
Arch Manning’s NIL Deal: How Much is He Worth?
Arch Manning is among the highest-paid NIL (Name, Image, Likeness) athletes in college sports history, even without being a starter during his freshman and sophomore years.
Estimated NIL Valuation:
According to On3 NIL Valuations, Arch Manning’s NIL value is approximately $3.8 million as of August 2025.
NIL Deal Highlights:
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Panini America: Signed an exclusive memorabilia and trading card deal worth seven figures.
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Nike: Part of their elite athlete endorsement program, reportedly a multi-year deal.
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Local Austin Sponsorships: Leveraging Texas football’s massive fan base.
Unlike many other young stars, Arch has been selective with his endorsements. His family emphasized that they didn’t want him to be distracted by money early in his career. His uncle Peyton Manning has been quoted as saying, “Football comes first. NIL is just a bonus.”
Arch Manning’s On-Field Performance: Grade Breakdown
Despite high expectations, Arch Manning’s journey at Texas hasn’t been smooth sailing. So, how does he grade out in 2025?
2024 Season Stats (Redshirt Freshman Year):
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Games Played: 5
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Passing Yards: 734
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Touchdowns: 6
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Interceptions: 3
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Completion Rate: 59.2%
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QB Rating: 78.3
While these stats aren’t eye-popping, they offer a solid foundation for a young quarterback still adjusting to the pace of college football.
Grade: B-
Most analysts give Arch a B- grade, citing his raw talent and decision-making as his strengths, but pointing to inconsistency and lack of reps as areas to improve.
Pro Comparison: Kirk Cousins with a higher ceiling
Strengths:
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Strong arm and quick release
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Football IQ and pedigree
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Poise under pressure
Weaknesses:
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Needs better footwork under pressure
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Inconsistent accuracy on deep throws
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Limited in-game experience
What Experts Are Saying
Kirk Herbstreit (ESPN):
“Arch has all the tools, but he needs reps. If he stays in Texas and gets those snaps, he’ll be elite.”
Joel Klatt (FOX Sports):
“He’s a future first-round pick. It’s just a matter of time, development, and opportunity.”
Steve Sarkisian (Texas HC):
“We’re in no rush. Arch is going to be great—we’re building him the right way.”
Arch Manning’s Future in College Football
Whether Arch stays at Texas or chooses to transfer, his football journey is far from over. With elite quarterback instincts, strong mentorship, and the best training resources, he has the potential to become a household name in both college football and the NFL.
Key 2025 Storylines to Watch:
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QB Competition Outcome at Texas
Will he start, or will he look elsewhere? -
Potential Transfer Announcement
Could the December transfer portal window be when he makes a move? -
NIL Expansion
More deals are likely if he gets more playing time. -
NFL Draft Projections
He’s still a few years away, but scouts are already watching closely.
Final Thoughts
Arch Manning continues to be a lightning rod of attention in the college football landscape. Whether it’s the curiosity surrounding his potential transfer, the millions he’s earned through NIL deals, or his on-field performance, everything he does is scrutinized more than your average player.
Despite the pressure of the Manning name, Arch has shown maturity and discipline, patiently waiting for his turn and taking the long-term route to success.
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