The Golden State Warriors lost to the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday night. Given that the Dubs were resting Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, and Otto Porter Jr., and still without Steph Curry, you could live with that. You probably even predicted it.
Warriors vs Grizzlies: Prediction| Odds| Line| Spread| 2022 NBA picks
Prediction:
The Warriors have lost five of their last six games — 1-5 against the spread (ATS) — with the latest being a 123-115 loss at the Washington Wizards Sunday. This is Golden State’s final outing of a five-game Eastern Conference road swing.
Memphis has won eight of its last nine games (6-3 ATS) including four straight wins over the Houston Rockets Mar. 20 (122-98), Brooklyn Nets Wednesday (132-120), Indiana Pacers Thursday (133-103) and Milwaukee Bucks Saturday (127-102).
Odds:
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:07 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Warriors +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Grizzlies -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Warriors +10.5 (-108) | Grizzlies -10.5 (-112)
- Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
Warriors at Grizzlies key injuries
Warriors (not officially submitted)
- PG Steph Curry (foot) out
- C Draymond Green (rest) questionable
- PF Otto Porter (rest) questionable
- SG Klay Thompson (rest) questionable
Line:
I think Memphis wins easily but the Grizzlies (-750) are a no-go at this price. There’s no situation during the NBA regular season where a bettor should be laying -750, I don’t care how lopsided the matchup is.
However, Memphis should win this one fairly easily. The Grizzlies are 12-3 SU versus teams in the second of a back-to-back with the best adjusted net rating (plus-14.4), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
Spread:
The Grizzlies are 15-8 ATS when playing with a rest advantage (plus-5.5 ATS margin) and 7-3 ATS as 10-point or greater favorites. Plus Memphis has the second-best ATS margin at plus-7.0 when playing teams on zero rest days, per CTG.
The Grizzlies also have the fourth-best defensive turnover rate (TOV%), per CTG, and score the fourth-most points off of turnovers per game. Whereas the Warriors have the second-worst offensive TOV%.
2022 NBA Picks:
| Player Name: | Status: | Reason: |
| Stephen Curry | Out | Left Foot Sprain |
| Draymond Green | Doubtful | Left L5-S1 Disc Injury – Management |
| Klay Thompson | Doubtful | Rest |
| Andre Iguodala | Questionable | Lower Back Tightness |
| Otto Porter Jr. | Doubtful | Rest |
| James Wiseman | Out | Right Knee Injury – Management |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | Out | G-League |
Star point guard Ja Morant continues to be out due to a sore knee along with Killian Tillie who is sidelined due to the same reason. Jaren Jackson Jr. and Brandon Clarke are both questionable due to thigh and hip soreness, respectively while Tyrell Terry is sent to the NBA G-League.
